NAR News & Analysis

Home Sales Forecast Cut to 4% Amid High Mortgage Rates

The National Association of Realtors reports a revised forecast for existing home sales in 2026, now expected to increase by only 4%, down from a previous estimate of 14%. This reduction is attributed to anticipated mortgage rates remaining above 6.5% in the coming months. Home sales fell to a nine-month low, indicating reduced activity in the market. The previous forecast was based on an average mortgage rate of 6%, highlighting significant shifts in market conditions that may affect buyers and sellers.