U.S. Dollar Strengthens Amid Fed Outlook and Middle East Deal Uncertainty

Published on 5/19/2026

U.S. Dollar Strengthens Amid Fed Outlook and Middle East Deal Uncertainty

AI Summary

The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.3% to reach 99.27, rebounding after a five-day losing streak. Investors are focused on a potential hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve, with a 48.5% chance of a rate hike in December and a high likelihood (98.8%) of rates being held steady in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Oil prices fell by 2% following President Trump's comments on a potential peace deal with Iran. The dollar also gained against the yen, reaching 159.18 yen, as Japan's economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.1% in Q1, impacting forecasts for the Bank of Japan's monetary policy.