Kalshi Traders See 29% Chance of Iran Nuclear Deal by January 2027

Kalshi traders have adjusted their odds regarding a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal, with likelihood increasing to 29% for an agreement by January 2027, up from 17% on August 2. For a deal before March 2027, the odds rose to over 40% from 20%. This shift follows President Donald Trump's announcement of planned negotiation talks. Oil prices also reacted; West Texas Intermediate futures fell 6% to below $80 a barrel and Brent crude futures fell more than 4%. The changes in these markets may impact future trading strategies for investors.

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