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Microsoft (MSFT) Cuts 2024 Capex Forecast to $170 Billion; Alphabet (GOOG) Holds at $195-$205 Billion

Published on · Source: cnbc.com

Microsoft (MSFT) Cuts 2024 Capex Forecast to $170 Billion; Alphabet (GOOG) Holds at $195-$205 Billion

AI Summary

Summarized by AI from the source below

Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOG) reported capital expenditure (capex) figures below analyst expectations in their latest earnings reports. Microsoft lowered its 2024 capex forecast to $170 billion from $175 billion, while Alphabet maintained its guidance between $195 billion and $205 billion. The companies are scaling back growth projections amid delays and supply constraints despite ongoing AI infrastructure demand.

Microsoft's CFO, Amy Hood, noted delays in third-party graphics processing unit (GPU) capacity, pushing availability to the first half of 2027. Microsoft relies on neocloud providers like CoreWeave, IREN, and Nebius, whose shares fell following the reports. Alphabet's finance chief, Anat Ashkenazi, reported that outside computing power only became available late in the third quarter. Alphabet's shares declined about 10% in after-hours trading due to missed earnings, revenue targets, and over $9 billion in negative free cash flow.

This cautious capex outlook signals supply chain constraints that could affect AI infrastructure expansion plans. Investors will await Amazon's upcoming report for further clarity. Meta recently raised its capex guidance to $135 billion-$145 billion but also saw share price declines after negative free cash flow results. The delays among smaller neocloud providers and capital requirements amid rising interest rates add additional uncertainty to AI capacity growth.

These developments matter for ordinary investors as Microsoft’s lowered capex guidance and Alphabet’s capex hold reflect potential constraints in AI infrastructure growth, which may affect supply, costs, and innovation timelines in the competitive tech sector.

Informational only, not financial advice. Content is AI-generated and may contain errors. How this works.

Our take

Opinion from the Newsstocks AI desk, not investment advice

We think the lowered and held capex forecasts from Microsoft and Alphabet indicate cautiousness about near-term AI infrastructure growth due to supply constraints. The delays in GPU deliveries and negative cash flows raise risks around capacity expansion. This cautious stance may continue until supply chain and funding uncertainties ease, especially for smaller neocloud providers.

Key numbers

Microsoft 2024 Capex Forecast
$170 billion
Previous Microsoft Capex Forecast
$175 billion
Alphabet 2024 Capex Guidance
$195 billion to $205 billion
Alphabet Negative Free Cash Flow
more than $9 billion

What could help

  • Ongoing AI demand supports continued capex spending despite delays.
  • Meta raised its full-year capex guidance to a higher range.

What could hurt

  • Third-party GPU supply delays could slow AI infrastructure expansion until 2027.
  • Negative free cash flow reported by Alphabet and Meta signals financial stress.
  • Rising interest rates impact neoclouds' ability to secure funding.

What to watch next

Investors will watch Amazon's earnings report after market close Thursday for further hyperscaler capex data.

The background

Capital expenditure (capex) is money companies spend on physical assets to grow their business. In tech, capex funds AI infrastructure like data centers and computing power.

Questions readers ask

What caused Alphabet's (GOOG) share price to drop after its earnings report?

Alphabet missed earnings and revenue estimates, reported negative free cash flow of more than $9 billion, and reported delays in outside computing power availability.

How are neocloud providers impacted by current market conditions according to the article?

Neocloud providers face billions of dollars in capital needs but lack investment-grade credit ratings amid rising interest rates, making funding difficult.

About Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG)

Alphabet is the parent of Google, with revenue led by search and advertising plus cloud, YouTube, and AI. Class C shares (GOOG) carry no voting rights.

The Communication Services sector covers media, entertainment, telecom and interactive companies that connect and inform people.

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