Los Angeles Mayoral Race: Bass 93% Odds to Advance, Pratt 75%

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass is projected to have a 93% chance of advancing to the runoff for mayor, according to traders on Kalshi. Spencer Pratt, her main opponent, has a 75% chance of making it to the second round. City Councilmember Nithya Raman has a 28% chance of advancing. This election is crucial as it influences political dynamics in the nation's second-largest city, where Bass is seeing a rebound from earlier vulnerability due to low approval ratings following wildfire management issues in 2025.