Iran War Prediction Markets Draw White House Concern Over $1.45B Trades

Published on 4/10/2026

Iran War Prediction Markets Draw White House Concern Over $1.45B Trades

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The White House warned staff against making bets on prediction markets concerning the Iran war, following unusual trading activities. Reports highlighted over $500 million in crude oil futures trades within 15 minutes before a March 24 announcement by President Trump regarding hostilities. Additionally, a letter from Senators Warren and Whitehouse noted approximately $950 million in bets on falling oil prices prior to another significant announcement that resulted in a 15% drop in oil prices. These activities have raised concerns about potential insider trading and manipulation in the markets.

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